the obvious answers are usually wrong.
everyone sees the same surface. reads the same papers. builds the same things. but occasionally you notice something nobody else is looking at. a pattern hiding in plain sight. a connection that shouldn't exist but does.
that's what i chase here.
like how everyone's building llms when rl agents are about to eat their lunch. or why the most important technology decisions happen in milliseconds at 3am when nobody's watching. or that thing where biological systems keep accidentally discovering the same algorithms we thought we invented.
i write when conventional wisdom feels suspiciously convenient. when the math is too clean. when everyone agrees too quickly. when the second-order effects matter more than the first.
no posting schedule because insights don't have calendars. no topic boundaries because the interesting stuff happens at the intersections. just whatever survives after i've tried to think it to death.
the real signal is always in what's left after you burn away the consensus.
most people are building what's fundable. i'm interested in what's inevitable.
— dp